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The Europeans

An interactive briefing · Europe & the AI supply chain

Anatomy of an answer

Every AI response looks weightless. Behind it sits one of the most concentrated industrial supply chains ever built. Who controls each layer — and where does Europe actually hold leverage?

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Before this prompt can be answered, eight things must already exist.

“How is Europe doing in AI?”PROMPT
Foundation modelSOFTWARE
GPUsHARDWARE
Data centresINFRASTRUCTURE
Chip fabricationMANUFACTURING
Lithography machinesEQUIPMENT
Minerals & electricityRESOURCES
Research & talentKNOWLEDGE
CapitalMONEY

Each of those layers is a separate industry, with its own suppliers, its own capital requirements and its own geography of control.

About this series

Artificial intelligence is usually discussed as a technology. It is also an industrial supply chain, and like any supply chain it can be taken apart and examined piece by piece. That is what this series does.

We go through the eight layers in turn. For each one we ask the same four questions: what the layer actually is, in plain language; who controls it today; what Europe is doing about it, and whether the measures are proportionate to the problem; and what would still be missing for Europe to operate independently rather than on terms set elsewhere.

The answers are not uniform. Europe holds a genuine monopoly in one layer, competes credibly in two or three, and depends almost entirely on others for the rest. Where it is strong, the question is how long that lasts. Where it is weak, the question is whether the current response is a serious attempt to catch up or a statement of intent. We have tried to answer both honestly, including where the evidence is unflattering to European policy.

Part 1 · Layers 01, 02, 03Building it, and running itThe models themselves, the chips they run on, and the buildings that house them.
Coming soonPart 2 · Layers 04, 05Making the chipsHow chips are manufactured, and the one machine in the process that Europe controls.
Coming soonPart 3 · Layers 06What it consumesThe refined minerals the hardware is built from, and the electricity it runs on.
Coming soonPart 4 · Layers 07, 08People and moneyWho does the research, who employs the researchers, and who funds the companies.

A design prototype for an interactive briefing.